Hello. You must be asking, "Who or what the hell is EM Sports?" GOOD QUESTION. I would be asking the same thing. Last football season, I went 112-68 ATS, or 62%, in a football pool played amongst a bunch of my buddies (it involved no $$$ of course, just for fun, wink). It involved picking a mix of NCAA and NFL games. Too good to be true? Don't believe me? Understood, I wouldn't either, and you shouldn't believe anyone on the internet you don't know. But I know it's true, I was there and have the records (Excel spreadsheets).

Anyway, I thought I'd release my picks this season on the internet to prove to myself it wasn't a fluke. Going 62% ATS on 180 picks is statistically significant in my mind, but I'm not an expert on statistics so will look to extend that sample size this season right here. You can either benefit, or not, pending on how things go. The usual caveats apply: for informational purposes only, in no way am I endorsing any illegal activity, past performance no guarantee of future results, I take no responsibility for anything, etc.

As a bit of background, I've been handicapping for many years, have been on the receiving end of scams early on, I know all about the chicanery that is all too common in the tout business. Over time, you learn the only way to consistently win is to discover method(s) on your own -- that's what I did, and you learn that the hard way.

Anyway, I'll be posting my picks at the following link:


Occasionally I will write something up here on the blog, but to get my picks you must go to that web site. And it's all free.

I will say that when I went 62% ATS last year, I did go "just" 60% on units. What does that mean? It means I went 112-68 on selections but 700-470 on units. The selections were graded from 5-10 units and as you can see, I did better on my lower rated selections. You'll see that my "premium" selections are rated 5-10 units, but I will have 3-4 unit plays.

I think that's it, enjoy and good luck!
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Tuesday, March 19, 2013

Returning for NCAA tourney

I took a break a few weeks ago. In fact, when it comes to basketball and baseball, I'm starting to think I should stop making selections at their half point marks, meaning at their Allstar breaks (and for college baskets in January). I tend to do well in first half of these seasons, but then seem to progressively get worse as the seasons progress into the second half. My guess is the lines become sharper and tougher to beat as the season plays out. 

I have not found this to be the case for football, mainly because football does not have enough games for the lines to eventually get too sharp to beat. With less than 20 games played per team in football, that's not as big enough sample for the number crunchers to get fine-tuned numbers.

 Anyway, I will be making plays for the next several weeks.
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Friday, February 8, 2013

2012-2013 Football Record


I finally got the chance to update my record for this past football season (see above). In short, not all that great. I focus on the Premium selections as that's what did so well in 2011-2012 in my FB pool with buddies. The NCAA picks were at least profitable, but I expect to do better than 54% ATS. It's the NFL that killed me, going just 46% ATS. But I don't feel all that bad given Vegas also got killed in the NFL (meaning the squares/public had a terrific NFL season -- a rare occurrence).

I'm confident things will revert-to-norm next FB season wherein I should return to form and do well.
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